Trump would lose to Biden in TEXAS say pollsters as deep-red state is falling out of love with the president and even Beto and Elizabeth Warren could beat him there
In an unlikely turn of events, Former Vice President Joe Biden would beat President Donald Trump in the deep red state of Texas, according to a new poll released Wednesday.
Biden has 48 per cent support in Texas compared to Trump’s 44 per cent, a Quinnipiac University poll shows.
The incumbent president is also in some too-close-to-call matchups with six other 2020 Democratic primary candidates in a state he beat Hillary Clinton by 9 percentage points in 2016.
If a Biden-Trump general election were to happen in 2020 and Texas were to swing for Biden with 48 per cent of the vote, like indicated in the poll, it would produce an outcome not seen in the border state since 1980.
It would also be a huge flip for the state if they were to go for a Democratic candidate in 2020 after 52.2 per cent voted for Trump in 2016.
Texas is an important state for the GOP because it is one of the most populous states that continuously votes red, giving a major boost in electoral votes – 38 in the last election.
A candidate needs 270 Electoral College votes to win an election, and if Trump had not secured Texas in 2016, and lost those 38 votes to Clinton, he would have ultimately lost the election with 268 to Clinton’s 270.
Surprisingly, Massachusetts Senator Elizabeth Warren is the second most likely candidate to beat Trump in the deep red state. In the hypothetical general election matchup with Trump, the progressive lawmaker has 45 per cent support from Texas voters compared to Trump’s 46 per cent. Only 1 per cent difference and within the margin of error.
The once long-shot candidate, South Bend, Indiana Mayor Pete Buttigieg could also beat Trump within the margin of error. He has 44 per cent support from Texas voters compared to Trump’s 46.
Former Texas Representative Beto O’Rourke, who has the home field advantage, earned 45 per cent support to Trump’s 48 per cent. Not as close as some of the other candidates, but still within the margin of error.
Independent Vermont Senator Bernie Sanders, California Senator Kamala Harris and former San Antonio Mayor Julian Castro are also in close competition with Trump in Texas.
The poll was taken from May 29 to June 4 and surveyed 1,159 registered Texas voters. It has a margin of error of plus or minus 3.4 percentage points, which seven Democratic candidates fall within to potentially beat Trump in the state.
Biden has had substantial leads in the polls among likely Democrat voters, but this is a huge step toward winning over more Republican populated areas.
The Quinnipiac poll held true to Biden’s lead among Democratic primary candidates. He earned 30 per cent support from the 407 Democrat and Democrat-leaning voters surveyed in Texas.