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Even a Fool Says Ocwen Looks Like a Bad Bet.

Yes, Ocwen’s balance sheet is ugly. But Ocwen have a lot of clout with the government. They, or should we say William Erbey, is relying on a tip that the second financial crisis is about to be triggered in 2020.

LIT COMMENTARY

Yes, Ocwen’s balance sheet is ugly. But Ocwen have a lot of clout with the government. They, or should we say William Erbey, is relying on a tip that the second financial crisis is about to be triggered in 2020. If that’s the case, then that balance sheet will flip to looking rosy, very rosy. And with the likes of former director and expert insider trader Wilbur Ross in the Trump administration, along with “foreclosure king” Steve Mnuchin and sidekick Joseph Otting, as well as Mick Mulvaney and William Barr, then you have to say that this bad bet has very strong odds it will turn in favor of these corrupt people and companies.

Judging Ocwen’s Acquisition of PHH, 1 Year Later

Ocwen’s acquisition looks like a mistake.

Jan 14th, 2020

Ocwen Financial (NYSE:OCN) is a non-bank financial company that services housing loans in the U.S. residential mortgage market. Ocwen’s focus is on the market for housing loans that are in foreclosure or have borrowers with sub-prime status (lower credit scores).

Ocwen has had trouble growing its business because of the backdrop of a strong residential housing market. There are simply fewer mortgage loans in foreclosure for Ocwen to service. To spark growth in its loan portfolio, Ocwen acquired mortgage servicing peer PHH in a deal that closed in October 2018.

One year later, we can now judge how the acquisition of PHH has initially panned out.

The rationale for buying PHH

Like Ocwen, PHH is a residential mortgage servicer operating in the United States. The two companies announced that Ocwen would acquire PHH for $360 million in February 2018 and completed their merger in October 2018.

From PHH’s perspective, selling to Ocwen concluded a multiyear strategic review that involved exiting multiple business lines and selling assets. PHH has struggled for years as an unprofitable business, and after selling many of its assets, it lacked the scale on its own to drive profitability.

From Ocwen’s perspective, it was able to acquire PHH at a 35% discount to its book value. Although PHH was unprofitable on its own, Ocwen believed it could turn around the business and drive cost savings as a combined company by eliminating duplicative overhead costs.

On paper, the combination made sense. PHH and Ocwen should be stronger together than apart because they operate similar businesses and could benefit from greater scale. It also makes sense for an industry to consolidate during tough times. Mortgage servicers focused on distressed loans have faced headwinds as lower interest rates and a strong economy have produced fewer defaulted loans to service.

Too much debt

Unfortunately, the acquisition of PHH hasn’t helped Ocwen thus far. As can be seen from the table below, Ocwen has seen its revenue decline for several years while its net loss has narrowed. The company was able to buy revenue growth with the PHH deal, but the net loss expanded quite a bit in 2019.

Taking a close look at Ocwen’s income statement reveals the issue. Although Ocwen is now generating more revenue and higher earnings before interest expenses, the company’s interest expenses have more than doubled. In the first nine months of 2018, Ocwen incurred $189 million in interest costs. Over that same time period in 2019, the company expensed $388 million. The larger interest expense was enough to push the company an additional $100 million into the red.

Because Ocwen is a financial institution with complex assets and liabilities, its balance sheet can be tough to decipher. As of Sept. 30, 2019, the company disclosed $8.7 billion in total debt with just $351 million in cash. Keep in mind that Ocwen’s market capitalization is only around $200 million!

The credit rating agencies are also on alert. Standard and Poor’s gives the company a single B credit rating and has noted a “negative” outlook.

Shareholders feeling the pain

Finally, but perhaps most importantly, Ocwen’s shareholders have felt the pain of the PHH acquisition. In the last year, the stock price has declined precipitously as the acquisition saddled the company with more debt and steeper losses.

With Ocwen’s stock this low, some investors may view the stock as a bargain. However, buyers should be aware that Ocwen is a risky stock. The company is now operating in an unfavorable industry environment, which will most likely see revenue continue to decline until the environment changes. Making matters worse, Ocwen is unprofitable and has an ugly balance sheet.

Even a Fool Says Ocwen Looks Like a Bad Bet.
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Laws In Texas is a blog about the Financial Crisis and how the banks and government are colluding against the citizens and homeowners of the State of Texas and relying on a system of #FakeDocs and post-crisis legal precedents, specially created by the Court of Appeals for the Fifth Circuit to foreclose on homeowners around this great State. We are not lawyers. We do not offer legal advice. We are citizens of the State of Texas who have spent a decade in the court system in Texas and have been party to during this period to the good, the bad and the very ugly.

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